10 to 15 cyclones forecasted to enter Philippines in 2022: PAGASA

An aerial view shows destroyed houses on a collapsed mountain side along the coastline in the village of Pilar, Abuyog town, Leyte province on April 14, 2022 day after a landslide struck the village due to heavy rains at the height of Tropical Storm Megi. Philippine meteorologists forecast around 10 to 15 tropical cyclones will enter the Philippines in the second half of 2022.  (Photo by BOBBIE ALOTA/AFP via Getty Images)
An aerial view shows destroyed houses on a collapsed mountain side along the coastline in the village of Pilar, Abuyog town, Leyte province on April 14, 2022 day after a landslide struck the village due to heavy rains at the height of Tropical Storm Megi. Philippine meteorologists forecast around 10 to 15 tropical cyclones will enter the Philippines in the second half of 2022. (Photo by BOBBIE ALOTA/AFP via Getty Images)

More tropical cyclones are expected to enter the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) from July to December 2022.

In a statement during the 149th National Climate Forum on Wednesday, Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) climate monitoring chief Ana Solis said that around 10 to 15 cyclones might enter PAR the rest of the year.

Solis said that two or three cyclones may possibly enter PAR in each month of July, August, September, and November.

Meanwhile, two to four storms are expected in October and one or two are expected in December.

The cyclones will be named Domeng, Ester, Florita, Gardo, Henry, Inday, Josie, Karding, Luis, Maymay, Neneng, Obet, Paeng, Queenie at Rosal according to PAGASA.

La Niña, rainfall forecasts

The climate chief said that La Niña could continue until the end of the year.

“For now at least, models agree that La Niña will continue, despite weakening,” she said, adding that the phenomenon might continue to at least December, January, and February.

Meanwhile, below-normal to normal rainfall could be expected in most areas of Luzon and the Visayas in July, while Mindanao would likely get near-normal rainfall, Solis reported.

From August to September, near-normal rainfall is expected throughout with probability leaning towards above-normal, while above-normal rainfall is forecasted for October to December 2022.

Currently, the northeast monsoon, locally known as the “habagat,” and tropical depression Caloy are affecting the country’s weather.

While Caloy has exited PAR at 11pm on Wednesday (June 29),, PAGASA warned of another low-pressure area (LPA) forming east of Luzon.

The LPA is likely to develop into a tropical depression in the next 48 hours. Once it develops, it will be named “Domeng,” the country’s fourth tropical cyclone in 2022.

Pola Rubio is a news writer and photojournalist covering Philippine politics and events. She regularly follows worldwide and local happenings. She advocates for animal welfare and press freedom. Follow her twitter @polarubyo for regular news and cat postings.

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