While Metro Manila remains under the “low risk classification”, the increase in positivity rate means the COVID-19 situation there is "concerning", said independent pandemic monitoring organization Octa Research on Thursday (June 9).
Octa Research fellow Guido David noted in a bulletin posted on Twitter that the National Capital Region (NCR) recorded an increase of 2.2 percent in the positivity rate on Wednesday, compared to 1.5 percent a week ago.
“The situation in NCR has become more concerning,” said David, who added that the reproduction number (R0) of the metropolis also increased from 1.15 on May 31 to 1.29 as of June 6. The R0 indicates how infectious a disease is.
Nevertheless, Metro Manila’s current positive rate is still well within the World Health Organization’s ideal positivity rate set at five percent, according to Inquirer.
David also noted that the seven-day average of new cases in Metro Manila increased by 28 percent to 102. The last time the seven-day average was above 100 was on April 8.
Furthermore, the hospital bed occupancy for COVID-19 in the metropolis has gone up from 1,372 beds occupied or 21 per cent on June 5, to 1,520 beds occupied or 24 per cent on June 8. David said this is equivalent to 50 additional beds occupied per day for the past three days.
When asked by a Twitter user what the numbers amount to, David said,“It is still not clear what it would be at this time. For now I would say that at worst, it could be a weak surge, but that can also change.”
The Department of Health has confirmed that the new Omicron subvariants BA.5, BA.4 and BA.2.12.1. is present in the country.
David previously said that the new subvariants may cause another surge in COVID-19 cases, but that it would not be as high as the cases recorded in January.