New candidate, old name: Binay among top likely Senate winners, says poll

·Kim Arveen Patria

The senatorial race survey trend showing re-electionists on top is slightly changing with the rise of a newcomer in politics, although by someone who's carrying a familiar surname.

Nancy Binay, the daughter of Vice-President Jejomar Binay, jumped several places up Pulse Asia's latest list of likely winners in the 2013 senatorial elections.

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Binay, who is seeking an elective post for the first time, has been ranked 4th-9th in the Jan. 19-30 survey of 1,800 voters nationwide. She ranked 8th-12th in the December survey.

The top three spots remained unchanged from the previous list, however, with re-electionists still claiming the highest chances of winning.

Senators Loren Legarda (58 percent) and Francis "Chiz" Escudero (54 percent) still shared the 1st and 2nd places, followed by Senator Alan Peter Cayetano at 3rd (48.9 percent).

Sharing the 4th-9th spot with Binay is San Juan Rep. Joseph Victor "JV" Ejercito Estrada (43.5 percent).

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Ranked 4th-12th, meanwhile, are Senators Antonio Trillanes IV (41.1 percent) and Aquilino "Koko" Pimentel (40.7 percent), Cagayan Rep. Juan "Jack" Ponce Enrile, Jr. (40.4 percent) and former Las Piñas Rep. Cynthia Villar (39.1 percent).

Rounding out the list of the 12 probable winners are former Senator Juan Miguel Zubiri (37.6 percent), Aurora Rep. Edgardo "Sonny" Angara Jr. (37.1 percent) and Senator Gregorio "Gringo" Honasan (36.8 percent).

The same names were in Pulse Asia's top 12 list in December.

Included in the survey but unable to make it to the top 12 are:

Bam Aquino, the President's cousin (31.4 percent)
Former MTRCB Chairman Grace Poe-Llamanzares (30.9 percent)
Former Senator Dick Gordon (30 percent)
Former Senator Jamby Madrigal (26.8 percent)
Former Senator Ramon "Jun" Magsaysay, Jr. (24.8 percent)
Former Akbayan Party-list Rep. Risa Hontiveros (17.5 percent)
Former Senator Ernesto Maceda (15.5 percent)
Former Tarlac governor Margarita "Tingting" Couangco (11.8 percent)
Zambales Rep. Mitos Magsaysay (9.9 percent)
Puerto Princesa City Mayor Edward Hagedorn (9.3 percent)
Bayan Muna Party-list Rep. Teddy Casino (5.7 percent)
Samson Alcantara (3.8 percent)
Former Philippine Constabulary Chief Ramon Montano (3.6 percent)
Former presidential aspirant JC de los Reyes (2.8 percent)
Former BUHAY Party-list Rep. Christian Seneres (1.3 percent)
Ricardo "Dick" Penson (1.2 percent)
Manila Councilor Greco Beljica (0.8 percent)
Baldomero Falcone (1.9 percent)
Lawyer Marwil Llasos (0.5 percent)

Only about a third of Pinoy voter-respondents (34 percent) have a complete Senate slate with less than four months to go before the elections.

"Filipino registered voters are naming a mean of eight and a median of eight (out of a
maximum of 12) of their preferred candidates for senator," Pulse Asia said.

None of the senatorial candidates, meanwhile, has so far earned the votes of 8.6 percent of the poll respondents.

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