Divisional and awards races are beginning to take shape as we enter Week 7 of the NFL season. Can the Cincinnati Bengals upset the Baltimore Ravens to take first place in the AFC North? Will Jared Goff throw 15 touchdowns against the Los Angeles Rams to leapfrog the MVP field? Here are my four favorite player props from BetMGM for Sunday's slate:
Jalen Hurts under 250.5 passing yards
Watching the Philadelphia Eagles offense this season is a high form of penance. Hurts has the sixth-lowest completion rate of any starting quarterback and has thrown for less than 199 yards in half of his games. The Las Vegas Raiders are allowing the second-fewest yards per passing attempt, just 222.7 passing yards per game, and no quarterback has thrown for more than 235 yards against them at home. The entire Las Vegas secondary has been locking it down this year. Cornerback Casey Hayward Jr. is PFF's highest-rated cornerback this season and fifth-round cornerback Nate Hobbs is tied for PFF's fifth-highest rating.
DeAndre Hopkins to score and Cardinals to win
The Arizona Cardinals have spread the ball out this year. It's resulted in a reduced target share for Hopkins, but he's still found the end zone in four of six games. Kliff Kingsbury is widely regarded as a player's coach and I just can't see "Nuk" exiting this cakewalk without a slice of revenge against his former team after they traded him for David Johnson.
Ja'Marr Chase longest reception over 26.5 yards
Rebounding from a preseason filled with drops, Chase rediscovered his chemistry with college teammate Joe Burrow in Week 1 and has been dominating secondaries ever since. His 553 yards and five touchdowns have made him the odds-on favorite for offensive rookie of the year. Chase has been Burrow's favorite deep threat, connecting for a strike of at least 34 yards in every game. The Ravens have given up the seventh-most 20-plus yard catches and have allowed nine different receivers to burn them for receptions over 26 yards.
Elijah Mitchell under 62.5 rushing yards
Mitchell is a talented rookie running back, but there are a number of factors playing against him in Sunday night's game against the Colts. Offensive tackle Trent Williams, PFF's top-rated run-blocker, is listed as doubtful. George Kittle was recently placed on injured reserve, so the Niners will also be without one of the best blocking tight ends in the league. JaMycal Hasty is expected to return from injury, further muddling Kyle Shanahan's running back stable. Mitchell has only hit this prop in one of his three games and Indianapolis has a top-10 rushing defense, giving up 4.1 yards per carry and surrendering just one touchdown on the season.
Stats provided by PFF, stathead.com, Pro Football Reference, and nfl.com.