According to an OCTA Research fellow, the COVID-19 reproduction number in the National Capital Region (NCR) has climbed to 1.15, showing continued transmission as the country gears up for the possible spread of the more infectious Delta variant.
"Iyang reproduction number, iyan ang nagsasabi gaano kabilis ang hawaan. Kapag more than one, ibig sabihin mas mabilis na siya... bumibilis siya. 'Pag less than one, it means bumabagal siya," Professor Guido David said in an interview with GMA 7’s Unang Balita on Thursday (July 22).
(The reproduction number refers to the number of people that one COVID-19 case can infect. If more than one, it means the patient in infecting more than one people.)
David added that the number of new COVID-19 cases logged on a daily basis in NCR could approach 10,000 in the weeks to come, noting that the arrival of the Delta variant in the country could have factored into the spike.
"We expect more than 8,000 people, based on yesterday's total of 6,000 mataas iyan (that’s high). It means that if na tumataas nga ang cases (if the cases are really going up), we could be looking at 10,000 by next week or the following week," he said.
OCTA Research already reported a significant spike in new COVID-19 daily cases in the cities of Manila, Makati, Laoag, and Baguio on Wednesday (July 21).
The independent pandemic monitor’s data showed that City of Manila’s daily average of new cases rose to 109 from 82; Makati City, from 55 to 74; Baguio, from 49 to 64; and Laoag, from 31 to 55.
Their data also shows that Davao City continues to lead as the local government unit with the most daily average of new COVID-19 cases (218), despite the drop from their previous week's reported cases at 233.
Ana Catalina Paje is a development journalist passionate about grassroots communication geared towards genuine social change. She also writes about showbiz, lifestyle, and all things Pinoy pride. The views expressed are her own.
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