Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages are Davis’ assessment of the current standings of the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any film or performance. Like any organization or body that votes, each individual category is fluid and subject to change. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
LAST UPDATED: Jan. 12, 2023
More from Variety
2023 Oscars Predictions: Best Picture
CATEGORY COMMENTARY: Here’s the bottom line: there seems to be a “safe” top six for best picture — “The Banshees of Inisherin,” “Elvis,” “Everything Everywhere All at Once,” “The Fabelmans,” “Tár” and “Top Gun: Maverick.”
The 2023 Producers Guild of America Award nominations stunned on Thursday with a shocking inclusion of the Brendan Fraser best-actor vehicle “The Whale” making the lineup, in addition to four sequels — “Avatar: The Way of Water” and “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery.”
The Golden Globes’ top two film categories were “The Fabelmans” and “The Banshees of Inisherin.” With the former, it was just what the doctor ordered. Steven Spielberg’s personal drama had seemed to stumble in the last week after an underwhelming BAFTA longlist showing (which omitted Spielberg) and missed out on key guild mentions, including from the American Society of Cinematographers.
“Banshees” and “Everything Everywhere All at Once” dominated the SAG nominations, with movies like “Babylon” and “Women Talking.”
AMPAS nomination voting is open and closes on Tuesday, Jan. 17 at 5 p.m. PT.
See the 2022-2023 Awards Season calendar for all key dates and timelines.
ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:
2023 Academy Awards Predictions
BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | ACTOR | ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT
The 95th Oscars ceremony will be held at the Dolby Theatre and televised live on ABC on Sunday, March 12, 2022.
2022 category winner: "CODA" (Apple Original Films) - Philippe Rousselet, Fabrice Gianfermi, Patrick Wachsberger (producers)
About Variety Awards Circuit:
Variety's unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online and provides inside reports on all the contenders in this year's awards season races. In addition to predictions, the section includes -- Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders in the race; Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly series featuring interviews with the top contenders in the awards race and an expert roundtable discussion with Variety's leading editors and columnists; Awards Circuit Predictions Video Series, a deep dive into specific categories, led by the leading pundits.
Best of Variety